Thursday, May 21, 2009

Peavy NOT traded to the Sox......

................White Sox that is, not the Red Sox.

Maybe it is just me, but why? The White Sox are in 4th at 17-22 and 5 1/2 games back, and yes, I know it is early, but does Peavy really make the White Sox a World Series contender?

The White Sox have a decent enough team, but they have no center fielder, Jose Contreras just got sent to AAA, Gavin Floyd has a 7.71 ERA, Bartolo Colon is actually on their team and Paul Konerko and/or Jim Thome can fall apart at any moment.

On top of that, Peavy (if he agrees to the deal) is taking his 3.82 ERA from the pitcher friendly NL West, to the AL. How sure can we be that he will even be the Jake Peavy that we all know?

Maybe though, the Sox did this for the long run. He is owed $60.35 mil through 2012 with a $4mil buyout in 2013, or a $22 mil option in 2013 that Peavy will probably demand be picked up or else he wont accept the trade. So even though Peavy makes them a better team now, maybe this is really a move looking towards the future because they may be a good team with him now, but after moves are made, in 1 or 2 years they may be able to be a great team.

1:47- Peavy Update: Courtesy of http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/

ESPN's Jerry Crasnick talked to Axelrod, who gave the impression that Peavy is leaning against accepting the trade:


"If I had to make a bet on it, I would guess that Jake would say he's not ready to take that step today. But he wouldn't necessarily preclude it at any time in the future."

Peavy maintains his strong preference for the NL.


This does not mean Peavy has or will said no, those are just the assumptions at this point.
Obviously, anything can happen and guaranteeing a 2013 salary of $22 million will def. help. I have class now and I am going to the Yankee game tonight, but I will try to update you guys as much as I can as the situation progresses.

2:10- Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union Tribune chimes in saying do not expect this deal to happen.

Final Update- Peavy declined the trade. He is a baby who is afraid to pitch in the AL.

Wins: The true way to determine a pitchers value

I get into this every now and again with my father and I have mentioned it on here before, but I think people need to stop looking at a pitchers win/loss record as a way to determine how good a pitcher is. Wins is so related to how your team hits, not just how a guy pitches. When Ted Lilly was traded by the Yankees, he was 3-6, which looks pretty bad, but his ERA was an above average 3.40.

Im not trying to make any bold statements here, just trying to open some eyes. Just to show an example, this year, Brad Penny is 4-1. His ERA: 6.07. Bronson Arroyo has 5 wins, yet his ERA is 6.56 (don't let Mike Francesa make you believe this guy is good). Finally, on the opposite end of the spectrum, everyone's old friend Barry Zito is a terrible 1-4 this year, but his era is a very respectable 3.62.

I'm not saying wins don't matter, they do, I'm just saying look a little deeper before you judge a pitcher.

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